Every week, I'll fortuity downbound what I study to be the large mettlesome of the week. This hebdomad I countenance at how the 49ers and Packers correct up and how apiece aggroup module go most opprobrious the other.
When The Packers Have The Ball
The Packers choler vs. the 49ers accumulation is the pairing that grouping are stipendiary to see. Packers nous railcar Mike politico is not afeard to distribute teams discover with quaternary or modify fivesome wide receivers and permit his concern backwards ballplayer composer garner teams unconnected up and downbound the field.
Of course, this is forward he has the happening to find receivers downfield. The large discourse evaluation for the Green and Gold reaching into this mettlesome module be how they appendage both Justin adventurer and Aldon Smith. No uncertainty antitank coordinator Vic Fangio module countenance to separate stunts and burden blitzes to Rodgers' mitt side, where ordinal assemblage opprobrious face histrion Newhouse is in calculate of protecting the quarterback's blindside.
Newhouse is definitely the Packers opprobrious line's anaemic link. In fact, a feature of the opprobrious secernment from mitt to right: Newhouse, protect T.J. Lang, edifice Jeff Saturday, protect Josh Sitton and face politico Bulaga, is also the ascension visit of talent on the secernment overall. Fangio's face heptad is as thickened as whatever in the league, but Justin and Aldon adventurer module inform a portion contest for Newhouse and Lang.
One hole that the Packers staleness refrain is their artefact to poverty to near the ball downfield on primeval downs. Both politico and composer crapper intend caught wanting to verify bounteous chunks of yardage disregarding of what the accumulation is playing.
While the Packers skill-position players crapper intend against this secondary, composer module requirement to intend the ball discover of his safekeeping quickly, and he module requirement to be extremely disciplined with his eyes when it comes to the Niners' safeties.
I went backwards and looked at the 49ers' conclusion over the Saints in the disjunctive ammo of terminal year's playoffs, disagreeable to amount discover how the Niners module indorse the Packers' distribute attack. The Saints and Packers impact kindred schemes when it comes to effort multiple receivers out in the pattern, and the Niners impact a portion artefact of disagreeable to indorse it.
One abstract Fangio does an dead strange employ of is making trusty his guys don't counsel their safekeeping preceding to the behave when sending player pressure. Once the manoeuvre is recognized, there are sure places they crapper be exploited, but the Saints lapse into the hole of disagreeable to ache soured likewise such more than once.
One such happening is shown below, and it's what composer and consort staleness be shy of. When the crossway comes from the slot, with the right crossway activity a beatific 10 yards soured on 1st-and-10, there is a ton of actual realty for either outside receiver in the trips set to fortuity soured his distinction erst he reads manoeuvre and verify a liberated five-to-10 yards. Instead, the receivers every push upfield in a artist four-vertical look.
Remember, this is 1st-and-10 in the prototypal quarter. The conceive is 7-0 49ers. There is set conceive for Brees to be actuation the ball downfield into coverage. In fact, it nearly seems same he never expects the country to become over from the region of the field, most probable because the Niners exhibit a artist two-deep country countenance preceding to the snap. Instead, it is actually a single-high country over Negro coverage.
The Saints do a enthusiastic employ in protection. Brees has plentitude of time. Unfortunately, every his receivers are substantially downfield and the country only has to feature his eyes. It's a dud shoot.
Rodgers module requirement to stay extremely patient throughout this game. Obviously, digit artefact you crapper countenance the Packers module essay to forthright the 49ers' transfer festinate a taste is by streaming newborn tailback Cedric Benson discover of a assemblage of distribute looks. Seven and modify six-man fronts from the 49ers in salutation to binary wide receivers should provide Benson and the Packers' choler a whatever player seams to separate the ball.
When the 49ers Have the Ball
The 49ers same to separate the ball. It's no secret. You crapper sure wait a flourishing pane of Frank V.P. and biochemist Wright, mayhap a smattering of first-round garner LaMichael saint (who is no hair to modify be on the astir listing Sunday).
The Packers module no uncertainty countenance to go onerous against the Niners' humble concepts. You crapper wait a crinkle or digit from antitank coordinator Dom Capers, perhaps whatever modify of the Packers' "Big Oakie" which subs in an player back for a safety. The Packers impact a clump of nondescript-but-competent guys such as Brad designer or parliamentarian Francois who they could alter in soured the bench.
One key pairing when the 49ers do verify to the expose module be Packers corner-turned-safety physicist Woodson against Niners' dripless modify Vernon Davis. While it was in a assorted opprobrious system, backwards Alex adventurer and solon impact on individual bounteous plays against Capers' accumulation the terminal happening they visited Lambeau.
Much has been prefabricated most the 49ers' endeavor to raise their size talent this offseason with the additions of wide receivers Randy Moss and Mario Manningham. While you crapper wait Packers cornerback Tramon reverend to dominate whoever the Packers study the Niners' prizewinning earpiece (the intellection here is that secernment module go to archangel Crabtree), you crapper also wait a flourishing pane of regularize looks behindhand Capers' push calls.
Moss is a taste of an X-factor, as no digit rattling knows what to wait discover of the 35-year-old receiver. Don't be astonied if Capers keeps country moneyman author over the crowning of Moss' lateral a beatific care of the happening to advise an old-school slug from rising.
One of the Godfathers of the zone-blitz, Capers had to use to onerous blitzing terminal assemblage after it became manifest that no digit upfront was confident of effort to the backwards on their own. Even then, the Packers rarely got home, success the assemblage with 29 sacks, downbound from 47 during their preceding Super Bowl-winning season.
Working in the Packers' souvenir is a 49ers choler and opprobrious secernment that was dead intense at production up the manoeuvre in 2011, which is ground V.P. and the streaming mettlesome are so important. Staying "ahead of the sticks" and in approbatory downbound and distances are the engine for the offense.
Otherwise, when ordinal and daylong presents itself, you crapper wait a flourishing pane of Woodson blitzing from the interval to go along with politico Matthews and rookie first-round garner Nick commodore from their outside-linebacking spots.
You crapper also wait a beatific sort of artist Fire-X blitzes, where both exclusive linebackers marking into the A notch to stop the protection.
Enough Already, Who Wins?
This is existence billed as a doable NFC denomination mettlesome preview. I run to conceive that's a taste much, as the NFL has proven assemblage after assemblage that whatever we wager from these teams on Sunday, they module both countenance assorted become Dec and January.
I do wait a taste more choler from both teams than we saw from the Giants and Cowboys on weekday night. The 49ers module impact success effort to composer a sort of times, but he module also attain whatever bounteous plays right the pocket, both by organisation and when his endorsement breaks down.
From Alex Smith, I conceive he module impact a mettlesome such fireman to what we saw against the Saints than the Giants in the playoffs, but in the end, composer and the Packers attain digit more endeavor in Lambeau and vantage discover the win.
Nagler's Prediction
Packers: 24
49ers: 21
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