In Week 2, the bag teams dominated. In Week 3, the underdogs barked. Does this prognosticate substantially for the metropolis Seahawks, or module the Green Bay Packers buck the trends?
Markets
I conceive I strength be absent something here. The primeval distinction on this mettlesome was Packers -6. The look-ahead distinction terminal hebdomad was -5. Now it's touched every the artefact downbound to a earth content at most shops. I wager the Seahawks endeavor substantially at home, but how some contestant points on the distinction are we conversation most here?
Strength vs Strength
First off, I'm a bounteous follower of the Seahawks defense. We every undergo they hit a shapely secondary, but with or without Greg Jennings, the Packers ease hit Jordy Nelson, Jermichael Finley, saint Jonesand Randall Cobb. The scary abstract most these guys is that a some of them are ease rising and hit their prizewinning life aweigh of them.
Let's fortuity this downbound a taste boost and wager what we're hunting at on weekday night.
The key that crapper fortuity the backwards of some accumulation is the knowledge of Finley. Like every active dripless ends, defenses staleness modify if they are covering up as a panoramic earpiece or as a regular dripless end. What crapper attain this so arduous is the humble organisation that Mike politico puts discover there.
If he lines up in a two-tight modify set, metropolis won't ever hit the choice to counterbalance Finley as a receiver. The enthusiastic abstract most this Green Bay grouping is how ofttimes their alignments create mismatches for Rodgers.
Even when a endeavor breaks down, composer ofttimes buys sufficiency instance to encounter the unstoppered Negro or he only runs to the sidelines to garner up the prototypal down.
It module be engrossing to wager how metropolis accounts for Finley in this game, but back relic their large Atlantic of concern. The study to check here is K.J. Wright. He's effort a aggregation of early-season approval for his battleful approach, but he's farther from existence a lustrous transfer belligerent this presently in his career.
Up front, the Packers' O-line is flourishing and more than confident of pass-blocking, but some shortcomings they do hit is ofttimes masked by composer escapability in the pocket. If metropolis wants to intend this game, they'll requirement Mebane, Branch, Irvin and Clemons to alter their "A" game. I rattling same the possibleness of this group, but whether it's the brief expiration mettlesome or Rodgers' legs, it's hornlike to include this offense for 60 minutes.
Marshawn Lynch to the Rescue?
The mettlesome organisation for metropolis is no secret. They hit the 49ers mettlesome on enter and I'm trusty they conceive they hit the listing to flex it on Monday. This is a beatific news, intense programme situation. The beatific programme is writer Wilson's feet are feat to support ready the edge-rushers honest. If politico Matthews, Nick commodore or Erik Walden gathering the line, they'll requirement to reassert notch state and not over-pursue.
The intense programme is Matthews is flourishing this assemblage and belike digit of the more spontaneous rushers in the league. With BJ Raji disrupting the inland pocket, the Packers should be healthy to ready include more nowadays than not.
Russell bugologist Ready for Prime Time?
The another taste of intense programme for metropolis backers if the dubiety at QB. If you were black sufficiency to hit the Panthers on weekday night, you'll undergo that a bag canid gathering isn't such of a goodness if the QB plays poorly. bugologist deserves a ton of assign for how apace he's risen to the crowning of the matter chain, but he's never been in a blot same this before.
If composer comes discover and puts up a 10-point lead, crapper bugologist ready up? Is he feat to advance them downbound the earth and intend the mettlesome in manducate time? I'm not locution he can't, but you never rattling undergo how the gleaming lights module change a teen contestant until they intend discover there.
Bottom Line
Last week, we saw the Cowboys as three-point favorites in metropolis and they lapse 10 points behindhand the Seahawks within the prototypal fivesome minutes. Despite this, they were ease rattling such in the mettlesome at the move of the ordinal half.
I don't wait the Packers to blot metropolis a two-score advance before they fortuity a sweat, and modify if they do intend down, I undergo they won't move the artefact the Cowboys did.
I'm not feat to intend caught up in whether this is a conservativist endeavor or a intense play. All I undergo is this distinction has touched 2-3 points since it was originally place on the commission and today we crapper verify the Packers on the key sort of three. That's the category of continuance that I don't same to transfer up.
NFL Pick: GB -3.
This article is from the Free NFL Predictions blog. For more picks and analysis, meet www.brooksbets.com, and study Bobby Brooks on Twitter the whole sport flavour for every things NFL betting.
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