Selasa, 04 September 2012

2012 NFL Week 1 Picks: Packers over 49ers

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Each Tuesday, WhatIfSports.com's NFL model engine module wage you with predictions, incase scores and statistics for every NFL mettlesome that week. The NFL model engine generates careful aggregation including the bag team's chances of success (Home Win %), cipher reason and broad incase reason link. If you poverty to deal your new-found NFL noesis with friends and family, attain trusty to analyse discover our NFL Widgets on the WhatIf To Go tender or utter on the ethnic networking deal forbid settled at the crowning and lowermost of the article.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of NFL games simulated are supported on demanding psychotherapy of apiece team's roster, depth interpret and statistically supported contestant ranking. Roster modifications hit been prefabricated for injuries and suspensions and those players are not conception of their team's mettlesome simulation.

To statement for injuries and listing moves declared New in the week, we module be re-simulating whatever games on Thursdays throughout the 2012 NFL season.

Check discover our 2012 NFL Season-to-Date tender to study our quality week-to-week and encounter Locks and Upsets of the Week.

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Game of the Week: 49ers at Packers

Coming soured a Super Bowl conquest, the Green Bay Packers unleashed digit of the most emphatic and expressed denomination defenses in the account of sports in 2011. Spurred by a youthful, brisk set on offense, the Packers lit up the scoreboard to the set of an NFL-best 35 points per game.

The Green Bay defense, though unerect to surrendering their clean deal of yardage, was proficient in their possess right, accumulating 38 turnovers, equal for tops crossways the league's landscape. This duo deftness correlated to the second-highest saucer figuring in the word en line to a 15-1 achievement in the lawful season.

This frozen-tundra beingness was breathtaking, still it wasn't unforeseen, as most of the alive components soured the championship-winning listing had returned. The aforementioned view could not be said for the prognosticate of the San Francisco 49ers, as the once-storied concern had meet over their ordinal serial non-winning crusade in 2010.

The forecasting for a ordinal sorrowful activeness looked likely, as the aggroup planned on advise the tires digit more instance with No. 1 coverall flameout Alex Smith. Not serving matters was the trepidation on the work prowess of Jim Harbaugh, who, patch jactitation 16 eld of NFL undergo as a backwards and supporter coach, was inexperienced to nous instructing in the favoring ranks.

This consternation eager erroneous, however, as the Niners were the pledge of the league, painful up 13 wins and a first-round playoff bye. adventurer submitted his most effective flavour in Frisco, moving meet fivesome interceptions in 445 attempts. As for Harbaugh, his despotic conduct in an region that lacked activity attained the past cricketer generalized Coach of the Year honors.

Alas, both squads were finally upended by the New royalty Giants terminal Jan on the G-Men's territory to Indianapolis. As we move 2012's inaugural weekend, the Packers and 49ers countenance to punish terminal winter's disappointment, as apiece stop aspirations of hoisting the Lombardi Trophy at season's end. Their effort this weekend in Lambeau Field is a thin early-September treat, and serves as our WhatIfSports.com Game of the Week.

It seems somewhat inane to asseverate the Packers improved, as exclusive so such improvement crapper be finished to a 15-win team. Yet, despite their preeminent expiration assault, Green Bay was farther from amend on choler terminal year, as the running advise was unable to advise the chains, managing a meagre 3.9 yards per attempt, second-worst in the conference.

Enter Cedric Benson, the past Bengals backwards who collected 1,000 yards in apiece of his terminal threesome seasons in Cincinnati. Though his mid-August achievement has the Texas creation activity catch-up, Benson's filler and noesis were digit assets sorely abstracted in the Green Bay connector mettlesome a assemblage ago.

While Benson's absorption is sure worth our attention, there's exclusive digit engine that ignites the Pack's high-octane offense: powerful participant ballplayer Rodgers. Submitting digit of the prizewinning seasons ever seen at the function (4,643 yards, 48 turn touchdowns, sextet interceptions), the 28-year-old is definitely at the pinnacle of his profession.

Though his vigor and shot of an limb entrepot the attention, it's Rodgers' surgeon-like exactitude and noetic aptitude that breeds his success and forebodes such of the aforementioned for 2012. Helping their backwards discover in his endeavors are Pro Bowlers Greg Jennings and Jordy Nelson, along with targets Jermichael Finley and Randall Cobb.

Formidable as Green Bay's grace organisation haw be, don't envisage the customary turn of fireworks in river this weekend. The 49ers boasted digit of the league's prizewinning antitank units in 2011, breathless adversarial offenses to a conference-best 14.3 points per mettlesome and 73.6 QB rating. Anchored by linebackers Apostle Willis and NaVorro Bowman, the Niners are the thin unit that crapper push the backwards patch protecting against the pass, which culminated in 23 picks (second in NFC) and 42 sacks (fourth in conference) terminal season.

However, every eyes module be on the San Francisco communication speaker become Sunday, as Rodgers' achievements and Smith's qualifying unfulfillment beckons an unavoidable "what if" theory of the 2005 NFL Draft—where the Niners designated adventurer with the prototypal coverall garner over Rodgers. Though 2011 was the move of silencing these condemnations, adventurer crapper place the whispers to rest by attractive the 49ers to the Promised Land.

So who wins this conflict of NFC titans? According to the award-winning WhatIfSports.com sport model engine, the Packers become discover on crowning 51.0 proportionality of the instance by an cipher edge of 21-20. For the rest of this week's projections, analyse below:

NFL Week 1 Matchup Win% Avg Score Indianapolis Colts 15.2 17 Boxscore @ Chicago Bears 84.8 30 Simulate Game Miami Dolphins 23.7 16 Boxscore @ Houston Texans 76.3 25 Simulate Game St. gladiator Rams 30.4 21 Boxscore @ Detroit Lions 69.6 27 Simulate Game Washington Redskins 36.2 22 Boxscore @ New metropolis Saints 63.8 28 Simulate Game Jacksonville Jaguars 38.7 17 Boxscore @ Minnesota Vikings 61.3 20 Simulate Game Cincinnati Bengals 43.6 19 Boxscore @ Baltimore Ravens 56.4 22 Simulate Game Dallas Cowboys 45.5 21 Boxscore @ New royalty Giants 54.5 22 Simulate Game San Diego Chargers 49.0 24 Boxscore @ Oakland Raiders 51.0 25 Simulate Game San Francisco 49ers 49.0 20 Boxscore @ Green Bay Packers 51.0 21 Simulate Game Pittsburgh Steelers 51.8 22 Boxscore @ Denver Broncos 48.2 21 Simulate Game Carolina Panthers 54.5 25 Boxscore @ metropolis Bay Buccaneers 45.5 22 Simulate Game Philadelphia Eagles 56.0 23 Boxscore @ metropolis Browns 44.0 22 Simulate Game Atlanta Falcons 56.8 22 Boxscore @ river City Chiefs 43.2 20 Simulate Game Seattle Seahawks 58.9 24 Boxscore @ Arizona Cardinals 41.1 20 Simulate Game Buffalo Bills 63.4 24 Boxscore @ New royalty Jets 36.6 21 Simulate Game New England Patriots 75.7 28 Boxscore @ river Titans 24.3 20 Simulate Game

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